Oscar rewards with Winggy Wing

…and after 45 long, hard-worked days:


…more work, more bubz:

… and maybe not a jackpot… but even better :

…with an interesting end of the day:


Well. Sad. Instead of talking with aliens, we stay and stare at these.
Need an alien.
Hoston, we have a problem!

….we fixed it! Houston, relax!

…

Houston:Take a look on these, pal:

• Because of Winggy Wing
  
• Winggy Wing reloaded
  
• Winggy Wing and the other Guardian Angel
  

…if you still feel sad just hack prizee and that’s it. Houston out.

 

(c) marius09.wordpress.com

(c) 2009 marius09.wordpress.com

1001 nights with Winggy Wing

Sad.
The legend came to an end.

• Because of Winggy Wing
  
• Winggy Wing reloaded
  
• Winggy Wing and the other Guardian Angel
  

 

(c) marius09.wordpress.com

(c) 2009 marius09.wordpress.com

Good bye, Winggy Wing!

I had to say Good bye many times to a lot of people. Most of the time I was happy doing this .

Now, I have to spit it again, to my funny guardian angel. The pretty fairy Winggy Wing.
Here is our love story consumed during the past years. Take a look and cry – if you really want to practice extreme sports.

• Because of Winggy Wing
  
• Winggy Wing reloaded
  
• Winggy Wing and the other Guardian Angel
  

Well, Winggy, I got the highest degree in this Prizee world.
Working hard, getting bubz after bubz…
And now, here we are….
Me, a great master with black belt in Prizee, and you – the same guardian angel flying around and crushing to the walls each time when we were drunk together, in the middle of nowhere.


Well, that’s it. Time to go.
Good bye, Winggy.

 

(c) marius09.wordpress.com

(c) 2009 marius09.wordpress.com

Winggy Wing and the other Guardian Angel

The other Guardian Angel

One day I realized that I didn’t punish yet my little Winggy Wing. Why to punish? I don’t know, just for fun, I suppose.
Therefore I used my skillled fingers and I started to whistle, a pretty special whistle combined with desperated screams: Winggy! Hei, you small flying ass!, show your face! Now!

And of course that was good enough for getting Winggy Wing back in business. I didn’t lose my time with hugs or french kisses and I screamed to her: What kind of protecing angel are you! I didn’t feel any protection! You know, stupid, people from Prizee changed a lot theirs way of existing on planet Earth! I feel frustration and, to be honest, I strongly wish to kick some asses! And what is new?, said Winggy, You always want to kick an ass, so what? Yes, but this time is too much and I really don’t have the proper ass to target with my favourite leg! Winggy!, this time is pretty tough! There are no more gifts now in Prizee, and they cut off my plays! We have now only 10 plays per day, imagine!

Ok, tell me your story!, said Winggy, looking at me with a bothered atitude.

Ok….
After that tragedy when Masters of Bubz from the Prizee headquarter decided to kill people all over the world and to get only 10 plays per day, I thought that it is the proper time to start to be a serial killer. Unfortunatelly, I didn’t get the nuclear bomb I wanted and also an airplan ticket to France seemed that time too expensive, therefore I called Osama Bin Laden to ask him for an advice on how to put things in order with these nasty guys.
Monitorize them!, said Bin Laden, and get some stupids to commit suicide in front of theirs servers!.
Hummmm….Good idea!
And, as usual, I started to monitorize them. I still looking for those stupids mentioned above, it is hard to decide who should be choosen for this great mission. Maybe Bruce Willis, maybe Tom Cruise…, I will see.
I have choosen Ange Gardien / Guardian Angel, just because I noticed that here I got more bubz before. …And yes! Yes, yes, yes! I am greedy! I need bubz, many bubz, more bubz, the best bubz ever!

101 days of Prizee instead of 101 dalmatians...
Yellow cells means that that game was the last from the 10 got per day;
Brown cells means that it fails on the 1st game of the very next day.
Green cells means that not all bubz were collected, but it passes to the next level.

Ok, this one above is the basic data to be processed. Here it is a first attempt:

and based on it the first glorious result:

		Result #1  The probabilities to pass over a certain level, and the difficulties of levels are:

Let make a small linear regression, just because a formula is nicer to remember than a table:

Hummm…. It could work.

What about incoming bubz per level?
Have here a look on this, and afterwards we will conclude that our equation on generating bubz could be reviewed in the background of the new tough times…

Now, do you remember our computing formula for bubz? No? Hummmm…. See it bellow and try to pay more attention in the future!
Bubz = 0,0274 * DayNo + 25,562

Yep. It worked in an ancient time, now, based on previous graphic we could state the next result:

		Result #2  The formula of how many bubz per day one can get is:         Bubz = 3 * NumberOfGamesPerDay in other words one can gets 30 bubz in average per day. It is about people that plays Ange Gardien exclusively, but I have the feeling that it applies actually for all games.

Come on!, said Winggy, I am pretty sure that you got less bubz than 30! Look in your table, most of incomes are about 10-20 bubz per day!

Yes, Winggy, but it is about the average! Look on how it looks my daily bubz:

As you see, there are a lot of days when I got 10-20 bubz, but there are some picks that actually rules the games and balance the incomes on a large enough period. See here day #699 when I got more 404 bubz, or the very beginning days after these mosters changes the rules in Prizee land, days when I got about 150 bubz… All these are actually balancing the game.

And it is pretty exciting that, after the dark day of changing the rules and cutting off the gifts and so on, there is a clear tendency of what could be called 3-asymptote of the game:

The average income per play tends to be 3 bubz, as well as the total income for a day, supposing that you have 10 games, is about 30 bubz:

It is a pretty elegant power-low for these both. Note that even significant events, like the 404 bubz that I got in day #699, do not influence too much the destiny of the of these graphics, actually they act as a supplimentary control on how rich you may become. In terms of bubz, pal… Fortunatelly.

Stupid! Now I see that you actually don’t know about how many levels there are in the game, you never pass over level 18! Ha! Ha! Ha! Stupid, stupid, stupid! Ha! Ha! Ha! Ha! Ha! Ha! Ha! Ha! Ha! Ha! Ha! Ha! Ha! Ha! Ha! Ha! Ha! Ha! Ha! Ha! Ha! Ha! Ha! Ha! Ha! Ha! Ha! Ha! Ha! Ha!

This last word of Winggy made me pretty nervous.
Hei! It’s true, I didn’t complete the game under the account above, but it happened to complete it on another one! Look here, you heartless creature!

and look how clever I was that time:

Nope!, said Winggy, it remains as I said. I am so shamefull to protect such a dumb player!

It was really too much for me.
I catched Winggy and put a small correction on her naughty ass…

 

(c) marius09.wordpress.com

	Commercials I’ll release Winggy after the New Year, when I’ll post some more info on Ange Gardien game. Showing that solutions offered by The Dark Masters of Prizee are not optimal at all, in terms of graphs. Actually, in any terms. Until then, Happy New Year! to everybody! …and take a look also on http://marius09.wordpress.com/2009/05/21/because-of-winggy-wing/ and http://marius09.wordpress.com/2009/06/11/winggy-wing-reloaded/

	Thanx! Pics above were collected from: http://s252.photobucket.com/albums/hh13/sharimax06/?action=view&current=33627qz0kw47zut.gif&sort=ascending http://s200.photobucket.com/albums/aa252/hiroka-chan89/?action=view&current=442999xga04iwd2p.gif&newest=1 http://www.badongo.com/pic/5233192 http://s273.photobucket.com/albums/jj202/alextf-2007/?action=view&current=1338948moefati4iu.gif&newest=1

(c) 2009 marius09.wordpress.com

Winggy Wing reloaded

A small message wrote with a crooked finger on the dust of my monitor awared me this morning:
I’m back!

That moment I knew that Winggy Wing did return. Because is hard to hide or to move to another apartment in such a short time, I decided to face her and to teach her a lesson of dignity.

Therefore I came back from my job and I screamed, as usual:
Fuck! Fuck! Fuck! Fuck! Fuck! Fuck!

Then, with a smile in the corner of my virile mouth, I said:
Come out, Winggy! Repair that!
And I added about 84 more Fuck!s.

This wasn’t fair at all!, said a voice and Winggy suddenly appeared through the walls. I don’t care, it’s your job to protect me, so do it, bitch!, I said laughing a lot in my inner forum. But why, honey, why?, asked her. Because of Prizee, this is why! And all is your fault. Of course, she said, let me see what is all this about. Tell me everything, we’ll get a solution.

Ok, remember our last discussion? I have more news related to this damn game.

First of all, let see a more actual graphic of bubz, got between the dark age between Silver 4 and Gold 2 ranks.

You discovered the “ultimate formula” of the game
Bubz = 0,0274 * DayNo + 25,562

..and I was happy a while. A short moment.
Then I started to think about relations and rules that acts between the classes of bubz.

I said: Let study a little bit the main classes of bubz, 0-10, 11-20, 21-30, 31-40, 41-50, 51-60, 61-70, 71-80, 81-80, 91-100 & over 101. If I consider my daily earned bubz as an instance of one of these classes, maybe I’ll be more closer to the mastermind behind Prizee.
And this is what I done.
For instance, if in day #414 I got 33 bubz, then day #414 will be labeled with class 31-40. This way we get a sequence of classes instead of a sequence with numbers.
This is pretty funny, because the next step is to represent in terms of graphs the relations between these classes.

Interesting, this is a connected graph having the incident matrix

Ok, it’s a small step for man, but a huge one for… dolphins. Because mankind has different stuff to do.
Now, we get the background for detecting the behaviour of each class. Because the graph built is a very common random graph, let generate random paths on it and see what kind of distribution we get for each node/class. It would be like 1000 users would play based on the statistics hidden in the early displayed bubz per day data.

Good plan. But how?

Simulating plays under the control of statistics bubz per day produces our first nice result:

		Result #1  Each class of bubz is instantiated based on a normal repartition.

These are pretty good news related to the honestity of the people who give us our daily bubz.
Of course, it matters a lot the average and the standard deviation of the repartition, but what the hell!, in a way or another, if we play enough, we will get “for sure” any instance of the classes. I mean all! For sure you will get a day when you will get less than 10 bubz, and this – doesn’t matter if you are Platinum 4 ranked! Of course, the probability is small, but it still exists.

In my case, the probability of getting less than 10 bubz is about 4%, and to be honest, in about 150 days it happened once, in the darked day #526. On the other hand, in the early days of of Bronze rank, it happened many, so painfull many times…

You can see beside an example of a beautifull Gaussian bell for the class 61-70. See the rest of distributions bellow.

This is the behaviour of each class of bubz, ok.
What about the relationsships between them? If, let say, if today I make 42 bubz (therefore an instance of class 41-50), what should I expect from the day of tomorrow? Ok, I have an formula which estimates me a certain amount of bubz, but I want more!

Actually, it would be nice to have what could be called the genealogy tree of the bubz.
Obviously, some classes of bubz are more appropiated by another ones, more often it happens that after a day when you get something between 21-30 bubz the next day or the previous one you got something from 41-50 or 11-20. Basically, it is the ancient say that “a trouble never comes alone” – or something like that. If there is no such a say, it should be created.
Well…

Ok, here it comes the nicier part of applying the great neighbour-joining algorithms.
I will come back later with some small details on this and also on the metric used. If you want to get an idea about what this metric is and how it is related to the the neighbour-joining algorithm see

An Eficient Approach for the Rank Aggregation Problem

A low-complexity distance for DNA strings

written by an interesting math guy called Liviu P. Dinu.
Anyway, I used his metric – which actually is one of a common-sense with some really astonishing results in genetics.

Ok, here we go. Bellow you get the data processed in a very primitive way.
On the first hand, the table of neighbour occurrences:

On the second hand, the rankings of each class based on its neighbours:

I was a little bit forced to work with characters (A,B,…,K) instead of ordinary numbers (1,2,…,11) for fetching data with my app. Anyway, A stays for 1, B for 2,…, K for 11 and the meaning of the row 41-50 DECBFGAHIJK, for instance, related to class 41-50 is this one: class 0-10 is the 4th/D ranked from occuring as a neighbour for class 41-50, class 11-20 is 5th/E ranked, class 21-30 is 3rd/C ranked and so on up to class over 100 which is 11th/K ranked from the same neighbour point of view.

Pretty exciting.
Now we can run our small .NET app and get this genealogy/philogenetic tree of classes of bubz.

		Result #2  The genealogy tree of classes of bubz is:

It can see the “balancing” way of acting of the bubz generator. As a famous Prizee player, Mr. Fazikowi, said in a certain moment of his life, if you get something poor in bubz today, let say 8 bubz, it’s pretty probable that yesterday/tomorrow you got/will get about 60-70 bubz.
Of course, the general formula published in the previous post acts very ok, but in a statistical way. Concretelly, today or tomorrow there are good chances to get bubz in the most appropiated “relative” class to the one I instanciated today.
Got it?

Winggy!
What the fuck are you doing while I’m speaking here…..?

(c) marius09.wordpress.com

		Thanx! Pics above were collected from: http://www.imagehousing.com/image.php?file_thumb=http://img396.imageshack.us/ img396/7388/cce730aa16309b2c4dfc3ecqw0.th.gif&cat=angel http://www.imagehousing.com/image.php?file_thumb=http://img152.imageshack.us/img152/6056/ 3e6b90a86a43e51015521dczy7.gif&cat=funny

		Normal distribution for each class of bubz

		Info for next generation of prizeefobia     Prizee is a nice French site hosting a set of Flash games. As everywhere in this part of universe, you create an account and start to play. What to play? Well, there is a standard set of different games and you get only one of each per day, for free. If you want more, then you pay and get more. It is about you, I am too parsimonious. Winning a game will put some bubz in your bag. When you get a certain amount of bubz, you can order various gifts. Try it, if you really need to lose some time…

		More info about Kolmogorov test & the other algorithms    …I’ll be back on these. Anyway, the net is full of examples and discussions around these topics

		Evolution of population of Winggy Wing’s fans

(c) 2009 marius09.wordpress.com

Because of Winggy Wing

Read more about Winngy Wing on Winggy Wing reloaded. More statistics and a genealogy tree related to classes of bubz. Yep. For free.
If you are addicted to Ange Gardien game, see some statistics on Winggy Wing and the other Guardian Angel.

		Exactly 511 days ago my guardian angel, Winggy Wing, was flying around my monitor and finally said: Pal, it doesn’t work this way anymore, it’s time for a decision. You are so pure that I should quit my job. Fucking pureness, man! Shortly: you have to start something, it doesn’t matter what, so that I would have stuff to protect, ok? I don’t care, you can choose whatever you want: cocaine, heroine, gambling, chinese women, math, torturing your boss… But choose quickly, otherwise I will send to you by email my resignation. Capisci?

I cannot afford myself to stay un-guarded, therefore I’ve started to think, and think, and think… Because everything has an end, after 25 nano-seconds I decided: Prizee! That’s it, let it be!

See my short description here, or go to their site http://en.prizee.com/. I hope that you will finally start cursing this post and this way my Winggy Wing will have something to guard. This is the masterplan.

Ok, so 511 days ago I started to play. Day after day I added bubz after bubz and I finally become a sort of Rockefeller in terms of bubz. Yep. Me. My fiancee started to make plans what we should do with these bubz: buy a house, change our car with one that should be real, made of atoms instead of… non-atoms, ok, this kind
of stuff. Unfortunately, all these are not listed in their page of gifts/rewards.

I became suspicious.
What the fuck, Winggy, it stincks! I put my life playing each day so that you have stuff to guard… and now..?

Come on, stupid!, said Winggy, It is, as usual, 100% your fault! Monitorize them, stupid!

Yes, that’s it. Monitorize them! I became an under-cover agent and I wrote down each day the earned bubz.

So what?
Let group a little bit the data.

Humm! It looks like a normal distribution.
But it is?
Checking data on http://www.physics.csbsju.edu/stats/KS-test.n.plot_form.html, for instance, it result a big NOPE!.
What the hell? Ok, let remove the peaks. Now it reports a big YES!. It is a normal distributions if you remove the peaks, in other words the special days when you get more than 70 bubz… These are the exceptions.
It results that the creators of this Prizee game are pretty honest in giving bubz, letting a natural law to act inside the game.

I told you, stupid!, said Winggy, You blame all the times the others!

Ok, ok! But what about predictions?
Let make a liniar regression (I love these words!, it makes to feel like a constipated Einstein) to see if there is anyting usefull here.
Here bellow is the evolution of general average from day #1 up to day #511. (This day, pal. I hope you are still contemporary with me…)

The correlation coefficient is pretty close to unit, therefore we can reveal the mastermind behind Prizee.

This is the ultimate law in this game:

Bubz = 0,0274 * DayNo + 25,562

And it is pretty exactly, because for day #500 it expects to make about 36 bubz and this is true!
It also results that you’ll be able to make 100 bubz in a day after about 2716 days, which is about 7,5 years! Of course, only if you play each day. Yuck!

You know what?!, screamed Winggy, I think you should choose cocaine instead!

Fuck you, Winggy!

From that moment my guardian angel flew away and I didn’t heard anything about him (him? her!). Maybe I am too pure. Or maybe I am just deaf.

 

(c) marius09.wordpress.com

		Thanx! Pics above were collected from: http://www.freakingnews.com/Goth-Angel-Statue-Pictures-31638.asp

		Info for next generation of prizeefobia    Prizee is a nice French site hosting a set of Flash games. As everywhere in this part of universe, you create an account and start to play. What to play? Well, there is a standard set of different games and you get only one of each per day, for free. If you want more, then you pay and get more. It is about you, I am too parsimonious. Winning a game will put some bubz in your bag. When you get a certain amount of bubz, you can order various gifts. Try it, if you really need to lose some time…

		Thank you, Poland!    A lot Polish guys visited this page and because of that I am entitled by Winggy Wing to thank you! to each of them. It is hard for me me to mention all theirs names, but I can let to the posterity the name of the One who started this pilgrimage: it is about Mr. Fazikowy, ranked 3 Gold in Prizee world (which should stay to about 2-3 dan in karate – which sounds more familiar for most of us…) You can follow Mr. Fazikowy and his disciples on their forum/topic: http://forum.prizee.pl/index.php?topic=23641 I will come back with another post for a little bit more details on the prediction meaning of the above formula. What is important is the average significance of all results. It is very low probability to get in day #512, to follow my above example, exactly: However, take a look on these results, related to days 512,513,514,515 (22.05-25.05.2009): As it can see, it generates an average income of 37,75 (= 151/4) bubz per day. Pretty close, if you take into account an accuracy of 95-97%. More than that, it also means that I could expect next days an income of about 45-50 bubz (“centi”-bubz, actually…) per day, which will “ballance” – as Mr. Fazikowy like to say – the general income. And a final note, for all of you guys: this small analyse processed about 150 data/days collected for certain ranks. It could be that there are similar regression equations for different levels/rankings. Anyway, if one of you believe that each day could be a fabulous day in terms of bubz…. just take my Winggy Wing guardian-angel with you. Could it be that you need her (because it must be a her!) more than me.

		Prizee map of users – from Winggy Wing point of view

		Thank you, Germany!  Update June 3rd  Kleene1989, Silver 4 ranked in Prizee world, made a scientifical note that in the map above some heat came from Germany, the land of Einstein, Wagner and, of course, Kleene1989. Here is the complain received in our office: Therefore, on behalf of Winggy Wing, I have to say several dozens of Thank you, Germany!. One extra Danke! for Mr. Kleene1989. Why an extra? Because two seem to be too much…

(c) 2009 marius09.wordpress.com